A study by a group of researchers led by Mathukumalli Vidyasagar and Manindra Agrawal at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) in Hyderabad and Kanpur predict that India is likely to witness another rise in COVID-19 cases in August.
New Delhi: There have been multiple talks about the third wave of the pandemic in India. A group of experts have predicted that the third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic will strike in mid-August.
According to their predictions, the cases will peak till 1, 00,000 in the best-case scenario and will surge to 1, 50,000 infections a day in the worst-case scenario.
The study by a group of researchers has been led by Mathukumalli Vidyasagar and Manindra Agrawal at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) in Hyderabad and Kanpur. Though they have predicted a third wave of the COVID-19 infections starting mid-August, they have said that it is going to be relatively less brutal than the second wave where the country was reporting 4, 00, 000 infections daily.
Predicting on the same line, Dr Samiran Panda, Head of Epidemiology and infectious diseases at the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), said that the third wave will hit sometime around August-end.
“There might be a third wave as it is not inevitable after the second wave. If the third wave happens, it will hit sometime around August-end,” she said.
She added further, “When will the third wave come and how severe it can be, all these questions are related to many factors which are not known to the full extent.”
India reported 40,134 new cases of COVID-19 and 422 deaths in the last 24 hours, as per the Union Health Ministry on Monday.
The total number of cases currently stands at 3, 16, 95, 958. The death toll has climbed to 4, 24,773. The number of active cases of COVID-19 in the country is 4, 13, 718.
A total of 36,946 patients recovered in the last 24 hours and 3, 08, 57, 467 people have recovered from COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic. This constitutes an overall recovery rate of 97.35 per cent.
Less than 50,000 daily new cases have been reported since thirty-six continuous days. This is a result of sustained and collaborative efforts by the Centre, the States and UTs.
The Centre has currently directed ten states, including Kerala, Maharashtra, and northeastern regions, to control the disease’s spread.
Source: ANI, Economic Times